Published October 19, 2026 in Market Update

More choice, but not more closings, across the Primary market

By Kyle Boehme
Real estate, Primary market

The one fact that changes what you should do: the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 917 homes for sale across the Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026. More supply did not bring more buyers. Pending sales fell 2.3% and closings rose just 0.4%. That gap is the whole story.

Primary market at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes for sale
down 3.5% from a year ago
Homes sold
up just 0.4% from a year ago
Pending sales
down 2.3% from a year ago
New listings
down 3.3% from a year ago
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Nationally, the picture is similar. Redfin reported that home sellers outnumbered buyers by 62.6% in September 2026. Redfin also counted an estimated 928,892 buyers that month, the lowest level since 2013. That is the demand side of the equation, and it is thin.

Sellers outnumbered buyers by this much in the U.S. in September 2026 (Redfin)
Source: Redfin, Oct 14, 2026

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 7.40% as of October 15, 2026. That is part of why buyers are careful. Higher rates make every price point harder to reach.

What this means for sellers

When supply grows faster than demand, pricing and condition matter more. Not every ZIP code tells the same story, though. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows 75219 sitting at 7.5 months of supply. That is a slower market. ZIP 75214 sits at 3.9 months, which is tighter. One ZIP code can read very differently from the one next to it.

Months of supply by ZIP code, three months ending August 31, 2026
75219 – Dallas, TX7.5 months75204 – Dallas, TX5.1 months75206 – Dallas, TX4.7 months75225 – Dallas, TX4.4 months75214 – Dallas, TX3.9 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Six months or more is generally a buyer's market. 75219 is well above that line. 75214 is well below it.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

What this means for buyers

More homes to compare is real. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 917 homes for sale across the five ZIPs. That is more room to look. But some pockets still move fast. In 75214, the Real Estate Data Aggregator found that 32.6% of homes went under contract within two weeks of listing. In 75204, that share was 31.2%. Not every home is sitting.

Share of homes under contract within two weeks, three months ending August 31, 2026
75214 – Dallas, TX32.6%75204 – Dallas, TX31.2%75225 – Dallas, TX30.3%75219 – Dallas, TX17.2%75206 – Dallas, TX21.5%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. In 75214 and 75204, nearly 1 in 3 homes found a buyer within two weeks.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Prices: a split picture

The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows prices moved in different directions across the market. ZIP 75225 saw its median sale price rise 30.1% to $2,202,000. ZIP 75204 rose 11.5% to $535,000. ZIP 75219 dipped 1.7% to $497,500. Small price dips in one ZIP and big gains in another can sit just a few miles apart.

Nationally, the National Association of Realtors reported existing-home prices up 1.3% in September 2026. That is a modest gain. The Primary market's ZIP-level numbers show a wider range than the national average suggests.

The rate backdrop

Freddie Mac also reported the 15-year fixed rate at 6.71% as of October 15, 2026. Realtor.com reported for-sale listings growing nearly 7% year over year nationally in the week ending October 10, 2026. More supply at the national level mirrors what the Real Estate Data Aggregator shows here.

Rate and national context, as of mid-October 2026
30-year fixed rate (Freddie Mac)
as of October 15, 2026
15-year fixed rate (Freddie Mac)
as of October 15, 2026
U.S. existing-home sales, September 2026 (NAR)
3.99 million units
Sources: Freddie Mac, read Oct 18, 2026; National Association of Realtors, read Oct 18, 2026
In short
  1. The Primary market has more homes to choose from, but buyers are not rushing in.
  2. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 917 homes for sale and just 547 sold in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Pending sales fell 2.3%.
  3. For sellers, that means price and preparation carry more weight.
  4. For buyers, more choice exists, but fast-moving pockets in 75214 and 75204 still reward quick decisions.

One last thing: the numbers above cover whole ZIP codes. One street can read very differently from its ZIP. A block with newer homes, a better school zone or a quieter road can move faster or slower than the ZIP average suggests. If you want to know where your address sits, reach out.

Your next step

(214) 205-6883

Text me your address and I will send back how your Dallas home's supply and pending-sales picture compares with what actually sold nearby in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from
Kyle Boehme
Compass · (214) 205-6883
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Kyle Boehme is a licensed real estate agent with Compass. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Kyle Boehme · CompassEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY